Fuzzy Confidence Intervals and P -values

نویسندگان

  • Charles Geyer
  • Glen Meeden
چکیده

The optimal hypothesis tests for the binomial distribution and some other discrete distributions are uniformly most powerful (UMP) one-tailed and UMP unbiased (UMPU) two-tailed randomized tests. Conventional confidence intervals are not dual to randomized tests and perform badly on discrete data at small and moderate sample sizes. We introduce a new confidence interval notion, called fuzzy confidence intervals, that is dual to and inherits the optimality of UMP and UMPU tests. The analogous concept for P -values, called fuzzy P -values, also inherits the same optimality.

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Comment: Fuzzy and Randomized Confidence Intervals and P -Values

Professor Geyer and Professor Meeden have given us an intriguing article with much material for thought and exploration, and they deserve our congratulations. Although the idea of randomized procedures has long existed, this paper has revitalized the discussion on randomized confidence intervals and randomized P -values. Interval estimation of a binomial proportion is a very basic but very impo...

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تاریخ انتشار 2002